Study reveals Africa will reach 1.5°C climate change threshold by 2040 even under low emission scenarios
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Photo: Dassanech pastoralist moves his livestock to a water point in drylands of South Omo, SNNPR, Ethiopia (credit: ILRI/Fiona Flintan)
CGIAR February 28 2025
New research highlighted in CABI Reviews suggests that all five subregions of Africa will breach the 1.5°C climate change threshold—the limit stipulated by the Paris Agreement—by 2040 even under low emission scenarios.
A team of scientists from the University of Zimbabwe, the International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI) in Kenya, and the African Group of Negotiators Experts Support (AGNES) conducted a literature review to develop a framework for just transition pathways for Africa’s agriculture towards low emission and climate resilient development under 1.5°C of global warming.
They found that despite Africa emitting less than 4% of global greenhouse gas emissions in the atmosphere, the 1.5°C climate change threshold will be approached by 2040 in all five subregions of Africa, even under low emission scenarios.
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